SM-3
Standard Missile 3 (Block IB / IIA)
Ship-launched interceptor that hits ballistic missiles in space. At about $29M each it's the most expensive missile here, and the slowest to build.
Launched from: Aegis destroyers and cruisers · ~$28.7M each
39–68% of ~410 before the war · as of Apr 8, 2026
At the opening campaign's pace (~5/day) that's 33–57 days of fire with no resupply.
In blocks of 10
left within the estimate's range used since Feb 28
Rebuild model
How fast does the stockpile come back? This projects it forward from the deliveries already in the pipeline and the FY2027 rebuild order, using the budget's own schedules. Move the sliders to test faster production or a renewed war.
Starts from the newest estimate (Apr 8, 2026) and assumes no firing after it unless you add a renewed war. Fighting has continued at lower intensity since July 8, so treat projections from older estimates as optimistic. The default firing rate is the opening campaign's average: ~5 a day over 39 days.
Table view
| Date | Low estimate | High estimate |
|---|
Every estimate
| As of | Claim | Source | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | StatementQuote“about one-third of the initial inventory for the rest (JASSM, SM-2/3/6, and Tomahawk)” | CSIS Jul 31, 2026 | Estimate |
| May 27, 2026 | Statement Per CNN, citing DoD sources Quote“A CNN report citing DOD sources indicated that actual Standard Missile usage in Operation Epic Fury was closer to the lower-bound estimates in the CSIS munitions inventory study” | CSIS May 27, 2026 | Reported |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 130–250 usedQuote“SM-3 $28.7 410 130–250 64” Table 1 row. The range reflects uncertainty over allied intercepts and munitions mix. | CSIS Apr 21, 2026 | Estimate |
| Feb 28, 2026 | ~410 before the warQuote“SM-3 $28.7 410 130–250 64” Table 1 row. | CSIS Apr 21, 2026 | Estimate |
Model inputs
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Unit cost | $28.7M | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“SM-3 $28.7 410 130–250 64” |
| U.S. deliveries per year (recent average) Table 2: 40/yr Block IB plus 13/yr Block IIA ("SM-3 IIA 13 57 7 64"). | 53 | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“SM-3 IB 40 42 10 52” |
| FY2027 budget request 78 Block IB + 136 Block IIA. | 214 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“78 SM-3 Block IBs, 136 SM-3 Block IIAs, and 540 SM-6s” |
| FY2027 deliveries begin Assumes appropriations in October 2026, plus 37 months. | Nov 2029 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“These orders will take between 36 and 39 months to begin deliveries once Congress provides appropriations.” |
| Months to deliver a full lot Table 2: production time for a full Block IB lot. | 10 | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“SM-3 IB 40 42 10 52” |
| CSIS rebuild outlook | Early 2029 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“inventories will not return to prewar levels until early 2029 despite the relatively low usage in the campaign.” |