THAAD
Terminal High Altitude Area Defense interceptor
Hits ballistic missiles higher and farther out than Patriot. CSIS calls it the most critical of the seven because stocks are small and nothing else does its job.
Launched from: Ground launchers (8 batteries) · ~$15.5M each
52–62% of ~452 before the war · as of Jul 27, 2026
At the opening campaign's pace (~6/day) that's 38–45 days of fire with no resupply.
In blocks of 10
left within the estimate's range used since Feb 28
Rebuild model
How fast does the stockpile come back? This projects it forward from the deliveries already in the pipeline and the FY2027 rebuild order, using the budget's own schedules. Move the sliders to test faster production or a renewed war.
Starts from the newest estimate (Jul 27, 2026) and assumes no firing after it unless you add a renewed war. Fighting has continued at lower intensity since July 8, so treat projections from older estimates as optimistic. The default firing rate is the opening campaign's average: ~6 a day over 39 days.
Table view
| Date | Low estimate | High estimate |
|---|
Every estimate
| As of | Claim | Source | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | ≤80% used Per CNN, citing sources familiar with a recent inventory assessment Quote“CNN reported that the United States has used nearly 80% of its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense missile stockpile and about half of its Patriot interceptors since the war began, citing sources familiar with a recent inventory assessment.” | Stars and Stripes Aug 5, 2026 | Reported |
| Jul 31, 2026 | StatementQuote“The United States has used about half of the initial inventory for three of these munitions (Patriot, THAAD, and PrSM)” | CSIS Jul 31, 2026 | Estimate |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 234–278 left Per CSIS (Cancian & Park) Quote“The U.S. also has an estimated 234 to 278 THAAD interceptors remaining, down from 452 before the war.” | Stars and Stripes Jul 30, 2026 | Estimate |
| Jul 27, 2026 | ~250 leftQuote“This has required extensive use of interceptors, with Patriot inventories now under 1,000 and THAAD inventories at about 250.” | CSIS Jul 27, 2026 | Estimate |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 190–290 usedQuote“THAAD $15.5 360 190–290 53” Table 1 row. | CSIS Apr 21, 2026 | Estimate |
| Feb 28, 2026 | ~452 before the war Per CSIS (Cancian & Park) Quote“The U.S. also has an estimated 234 to 278 THAAD interceptors remaining, down from 452 before the war.” Revised up from the 360 in CSIS's April table. | Stars and Stripes Jul 30, 2026 | Estimate |
| Feb 28, 2026 | ~360 before the warQuote“THAAD $15.5 360 190–290 53” Table 1 row. CSIS raised this baseline to 452 in its July 27 update. | CSIS Apr 21, 2026 | Estimate |
Model inputs
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Unit cost | $15.5M | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“THAAD $15.5 360 190–290 53” |
| U.S. deliveries per year (recent average) Table 2: five-year average of U.S. procurement. | 28 | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“THAAD 28 49 4 53” |
| Announced production capacity (all customers) All customers; current surge rate is 96 a year. | 400/yr | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“Lockheed Martin plans to expand production capacity to 400 a year” |
| FY2027 budget request | 857 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“The Army has requested 857 THAAD interceptors in FY 2027.” |
| FY2027 deliveries begin "Mid-2029" modeled as June. | Jun 2029 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“Their deliveries, projected to start in mid-2029” |
| Months to deliver a full lot Table 2: production time for a full lot. | 4 | CSIS, Apr 21, 2026Quote“THAAD 28 49 4 53” |
| CSIS rebuild outlook | End of 2029 | CSIS, May 27, 2026Quote“will complete the replacement of Iran War usage by the end of calendar year 2029.” |